Indlela yokufumanisa ukuthambekela kwevili le-roulette
Bhala, bala, vavanya, uze ubhale ngakumbi: le yindlela yokufumanisa ukuthambekela kwevili le-roulette.
Qokelela ubuncinane imijikelo eliwaka evela kwivili elinye, bala ukuphuma kwisikhewu ngasinye, qhuba uvavanyo lwe-chi-squareilebhuUvavanyo lwe-chi-squareUvavanyo lwezibalo-manani oluthelekisa ukuphuma okubonwayo kwisikhewu ngasinye nokulindelekileyo u-n/37. Lusetyenziselwa ukugweba ukuba ivili lithambekile na.Funda yonke →, kwaye siphathe naso nasiphi na isiphumo esinye esibalulekileyo njengesizathu sokuqokelela isampulu yesibini ezimeleyo.
1. Bhala
Iimbali zemijikelo ezivela kwiitafile ezibukhoma zihlala zipapashwa okanye ziboniswa kwaye zingakotshwa. Phawula ukuchongwa kwevili: iitafile zitshintshisa iintloko zeviliizixhoboIntloko yeviliIgama elifanayo nerotha: inxalenye ejikelezayo ethwele amanani.Funda yonke → phakathi kwezitya zeviliizixhoboIsitya seviliInxalenye yangaphandle yevili engashukumiyo: umphetho womthi okanye wento edityanisiweyo ogcina umzila webhola ne-apron, ngaphakathi kwawo kujikeleza irotha.Funda yonke →, kwaye ukuthambekela kungokwevili, hayi okwetafile okanye okomqhubi. Bhala umhla nexesha; ivili elithambekileyo namhlanje lisenokufakwa izahluli ezintsha ngomso. Imijikelo eliwaka bubuncinane ukuze uvavanyo luthethe nantoni na; amawaka alishumi yindawo apho luqala ukuba luncedo.
2. Bala uze uvavanye
Bala ukuphuma kwisikhewuizixhoboIsikhewuEsinye sezikhewu ezingama-37 ezinamanani kwirotha. Kwakhona: slot, cup.Funda yonke → ngasinye. Okulindelekileyo ngu-n/37 kwisinye ngasinye. Bala isibalo-manani se-chi-square, Σ (okubonwayo − okulindelekileyo)² / okulindelekileyo, kwizikhewu ezingama-37 uze usithelekise nokwabiwa kwe-chi-square kumanqanaba enkululekoilebhuAmaqondo enkululeko (degrees of freedom)Inani lamaxabiso azimeleyo kwizibalo-manani. Kuvavanyo lwe-chi-square kwizikhewu ezingama-37 ngama-36, kuba izibalo kufuneka zidibane zibe sisixa esipheleleyo.Funda yonke → angama-36. Umhlalutyi wokuthambekela kwevili le-roulette kule sayithi ukwenza kwibhrawuza. Jonga namacandeloiviliIcandeloIsiqwenga esiqhubekayo sezikhewu evilini, esahlukileyo kwiqela elikwibhodi yokubheja.Funda yonke →: isiphene somzimba sidla ngokuchaphazela izikhewu ezingabamelwane kunye, kwaye uvavanyo lwecandelo lunamathuba ambalwa okunika isiphumo esilungileyo sobuxoki kunovavanyo lwezikhewu ezingama-37 nganye nganye.
3. Phinda
Yahlula idatha ibe ziziqingatha ezibini, okanye uqokelele isampulu entsha enobungakanani obufanayo kwivili elifanayo. Ukuthambekela kokwenyani kuvela kuzo zombini iisampulu; into eyenzeke ngethamsanqa ayiveli. I-chi-square ebalulekileyo kwi-5% kwisampulu enye ilindeleke kanye kwamashumi amabini kwivili elingenamkhethe, kwaye umdlali ohlola amavili amaninzi uya kufumana iisampulu ezinjalo rhoqo. Kuphela emva kokuphinda kufanelekile ukubala ukuba izikhewu ezishushu zihlawula ngokwaneleyo ukoyisa i-2.70%.
4. Linganisa ubukhulu besiphumo
Ukubaluleka kuthi ivili mhlawumbi alikho ngaphandle komkhethe. Inzuzo ifuna isikhewu siphume ku-1/36 okanye ngcono, kuba ibheji yenani elinyeibhejiInani elinyeInani elinye, ihlawula u-35:1.Funda yonke → ihlawula u-35 ku-1. Isikhewu esibonwe siphuma amaxesha angama-40 kwi-1,000 singu-1/25, nto leyo ebiya kuba nenzuzo enkulu ukuba iyinyani, kwaye ibiya kuba sisiganeko se-2.5-sigma xa ivili lingenamkhethe; isampulu yesibini ye-1,000 ibiya kulindeleka ukuba isibonise kwakhona ku-40 ± 6 ukuba ukuthambekela kuyinyani naku-27 ± 5 ukuba yayiyingxolo.
Emva koko: ukufumanisa ukuthambekela kwevili le-roulette kwiikhasino zanamhlanje
Ngokwembali: bheja icandelo elishushu, uphumelele de ikhasino iqaphele, uze uvalelwe ngaphandle okanye ubone ivili linyamalala. Usapho lakwaGarcía-Pelayo lwakwenza oku kufutshane naseMadrid ekuqaleni kweminyaka yee-1990, kwaye xa ikhasino yabavalela ngaphandle iinkundla zaseSpain zakubhangisa ukuvalwa. Iikhasino ngoku zitshintshisa iirothaizixhoboIrothaInxalenye ejikelezayo yevili ethwele izikhewu.Funda yonke → phakathi kwezitya zevili kwaye zilinganise izikhewu ngokwecwangciso; ukuthambekela okukhulu ngokwaneleyo ukubonwa kwimijikelo eliwaka bekungayi kusinda kumjikelo wokugcinwa kwevili. Indlela iphilile, kodwa ukufumanisa ukuthambekela kwevili le-roulette kwiikhasino zanamhlanje kufika emva kwexesha: ithuba, ngokwenyani, alisekho.
Abadlali be-roulette abadumileyoGonzalo García-Pelayo: inkqubo ye-roulette
Esona sikhewu siphuma kakhulu sisoloko siphuma kakhulu
Ukukhetha esona sikhewu siphuma kakhulu nokusivavanya sisodwa ngumgibe, kuba ivili elingenamkhethe lisoloko linesona sikhewu siphuma kakhulu. Emva kwemijikelo engama-3,700 isikhewu ngasinye silindele ukuphuma ali-100 amaxesha, kodwa esona siphuma kakhulu sidla ngokubonisa malunga ne-122, kwaye kwisampulu enye kwezingamashumi amabini sibonisa i-131 nangaphezulu. Esona siphuma kancinci sidla ngokubonisa malunga nama-79. Ngoko isikhewu esiku-125 kwimijikelo engama-3,700 asinto ifunyenweyo: sithelekise noko kwenziwa sesona sikhewu siphuma kakhulu sevili elingenamkhethe, hayi ne-100.
Iimpazamo eziqhelekileyo
Ukudibanisa imijikelo evela kumavili ahlukeneyo okanye kwiintloko zevili ezahlukeneyo. Ukuvavanya emva kokubona idatha nokukhetha amaqela akhangeleka emabi kakhulu. Ukuphatha inani elishushuintsomiInani elishushuInani eliphume kaninzi kunokulindelekileyo kutshanje. Kwivili elinobulungisa alixeli nto.Funda yonke → kwimijikelo engama-200 njengomqondiso. Ukulibala ukuba uvavanyo lucinga ukuzimela, ngoko isiphumo sophawu lomqhubi besinokunyusa i-chi-square ngaphandle kokuba nasiphi na isikhewu sithandwe ngokwasemzimbeni.
Imibuzo
Eyi-1,000 ukuze ukwazi ukuqhuba uvavanyo konke konke; amawaka aliqela ukufumanisa ukuthambekela okufanele ukuba nako; amashumi amawaka ukukuqinisekisa.
Kuphela ukuba ichonga ivili kwaye ibonisa imijikelo eyaneleyo. Uninzi lweebhodi lubonisa ama-20 ukuya kuma-500, nto leyo inganelanga.
Ukuba ivili mhlawumbi alivelisi ziphumo zilinganayo. Hayi ukuba nasiphi na isikhewu sihlawula ngokwaneleyo, kwaye hayi ukuba ipateni iya kuqhubeka.
Ukonwaba ngezibalo
Qala uzizame ngokwakho. Isisombululo ngasinye sisongiwe; sivule xa ukulungele.
Kwivili eligugileyo izikhewuizixhoboIsikhewuEsinye sezikhewu ezingama-37 ezinamanani kwirotha. Kwakhona: slot, cup.Funda yonke → ezintathu ezibomvuibhejiObomvuIbheji yemali elinganayo kumanani ali-18 abomvu. NgesiFrentshi: rouge.Funda yonke → zinzulu kancinci, kwaye ibholaizixhoboIbholaIbhola encinci ephoswa emzileni ngokuchasene nerotha. Iibhola zanamhlanje zenziwe nge-ivorine okanye nge-Teflon, zi-18–21 mm.Funda yonke → ebiya kumisa kuzo iqengqeleka iye kwizikhewu ezimnyamaibhejiOmnyamaIbheji yemali elinganayo kumanani ali-18 amnyama. NgesiFrentshi: noir.Funda yonke → ezisecaleni kwazo, ngoko obomvu uphuma izihlandlo ezili-15 kwezingama-37 kwaye omnyama ezingama-21. Iibheji kobomvu nakomnyama ngoku zibiza okanye zizuza malini?
Bonisa isisombululo
Impendulo Obomvu ubiza i-18.9%; omnyama uzuza i-13.5%.
Obomvu uphumelela izihlandlo ezili-15 kwezingama-37 kwaye ulahlekelwa zizihlandlo ezingama-22: (15 − 22)/37 = −18.9%. Omnyama uphumelela izihlandlo ezingama-21 kwaye ulahlekelwa zizihlandlo ezili-16: (21 − 16)/37 = +13.5%.
Ukuthambekela kusika macala omabini. Ivili elinika inzuzo kumdlali olilinganisileyo libiza kasixhenxe ixabiso eliqhelekileyo kumdlali oxhasa umbala ongalunganga. U-Hunacek (2025) usebenzisa umzekelo ofanayo.
Izikhewu ezintathu kwezingama-37 sisiphene esigqithisileyo. Ukuthambekela kokwenyani kudla ngokuba yinxalenye encinci yoku, kwaye kuthatha amawaka emijikelo ukukwahlula kwithamsanqa, njengoko eli phepha libonisa.
Uncumo
Bhala, bala, vavanya, phinda. Ukuphinda yinxalenye enzima.
Imithombo
- Pearson, K. “On the criterion that a given system of deviations from the probable…”
- Barnhart, R. T. Beating the Wheel.
- Ethier, S. N. The Doctrine of Chances: Probabilistic Aspects of Gambling.
- Wizard of Odds. “Hot Numbers in Roulette: Myths and Facts.”