Umzekelo: ukunyuka kwe-Fibonacci
Iibheji ezi-1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13 komnyamaibhejiOmnyamaIbheji yemali elinganayo kumanani ali-18 amnyama. NgesiFrentshi: noir.Funda yonke →, ubuyela umva amanyathelo amabini emva kwempumelelo. I-Martingale ecothayo, nendlela umwonyo wayo ofika ngayo.
Iseshoni elinganisiweyo ye-Fibonacci yemijikelo engama-90 nge-$5 kwiyunithi nganye. Imijikelo yenkqubo engamashumi amabini igqityiwe nge-$5 nganye, uthotho olunye olubi lwafika kwinani lesithoba (ibheji ye-$170) lwashiya iseshoni ihle nge-$340. Ithambile kunokuphindaphinda kabini, de ingabi njalo.
Hamba ngothotho
Ilahleko ihambisa inyathelo elinye ekunene. Ukuphumelela kubuyisela umva amanyathelo amabini.
Iibheji neziphumo zikwiiyunithi zebheji yesiseko.
Isicwangciso
Bheja inani lokuqala le-FibonacciisicwangcisoFibonacciUkunyuswa kweebheji okulandela uthotho 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13…: inyathelo elinye phambili emva kokulahlekelwa, amanyathelo amabini umva emva kokuphumelela.Funda yonke →, i-$5. Emva kwelahleko, hambisa inyathelo elinye ngasekunene kulandelelwano. Emva kwempumelelo, hambisa amanyathelo amabini ngasekhohlo. Umjikelo wenkqubo ugqitywa xa sibuyele ekuqaleni siphambili ngeyunithiimaliIyunithiIbheji esisiseko esetyenziswa yinkqubo okanye ngumdlali. Ukunyuswa kweebheji kuchazwa ngeeyunithi ukuze kusebenze kuyo nayiphi na itafile.Funda yonke → enye. Xa kuthelekiswa ne-MartingaleisicwangcisoMartingaleUkunyuswa kweebheji okuphindaphinda ibheji emva kokulahlekelwa ngakunye. Bona icandelo lezicwangciso ukuze wazi oko ikwenzayo nengakwenziyo.Funda yonke → ibheji ikhula ngo-×1.6 endaweni ka-×2, ngoko umwonyo ukude ngakumbi kwaye ukubuyela kucotha ngakumbi: impumelelo ayiwugqibi umjikelo wenkqubo, ibuyela umva nje.
Imijikelo 1–40
Imijikelo yenkqubo elishumi elinanye igqityiwe, eyona inde ifike kwinani lesihlanu ($25). Umjikelo wenkqubo ngamnye ogqityiweyo uzuza i-$5 ngqo; ukubhala iiakhawunti kuyonwabisa kwaye iibheji zihlala zincinci. Isiphumo +$55. Kuziva ngathi yi-Martingale ngaphandle koloyiko.
Imijikelo 41–70
Eminye imijikelo yenkqubo emihlanu igqitywa kumjikelo wama-60 (+$25). Emva koko kufika umjikelo wenkqubo ongagqitywayo. L L L L L L L P L L: iibheji 5, 5, 10, 15, 25, 40, 65 (iilahleko ezisixhenxe, −$165), impumelelo kwi-$105 (+$105, buyela umva kabini ukuya kwi-$40), emva koko iilahleko ezimbini kwi-$40 nakwi-$65. Ngoku sikwinani lesibhozo, i-$105, ne-−$165 kumjikelo wenkqubo, kwaye ilahleko elandelayo ingasithumela kwi-$170 xa umda wetafileitafileUmda wetafileIbheji encinci nenkulu evumelekileyo. Ubuninzi yinto emisa ukunyuswa kweebheji okuphindaphindayo.Funda yonke → uyi-$200. Isiphumo kweli candelo −$140.
- p10 −$500
- p25 −$500
- umbindi −$500
- p75 +$390
- p90 +$480
Imijikelo 71–90
L L: i-$105 emva koko i-$170 zilahlekile, kwaye umjikelo wenkqubo umi kwi-−$440. Ibheji elandelayo ingaba yi-$275, ngaphezu komda, ngoko kumjikelo wama-72 siyawuyeka umjikelo wenkqubo size siqale kwakhona kwi-$5. Ngulo umwonyo. Imijikelo eseleyo elishumi elinesibhozo igqiba eminye imijikelo yenkqubo emine. Ekugqibeleni −$340; eyona ndawo iphantsi yemali yokudlalaimaliImali yokudlalaIsixa esipheleleyo esibekelwe ukudlala. Ulawulo lwemali yokudlala kukugqiba ukuba ingakanani kuyo oyibeka emngciphekweni kwibheji nganye nakwiseshoni nganye.Funda yonke → ibiyi-−$360.
Iiakhawunti
Isixa esipheleleyo esibhejiweyo simalunga ne-$1,200 xa kuthelekiswa ne-$450 ngokubheja ngokulinganayo. Ilahleko elindelekileyoizibaloIlahleko elindelekileyoIxabiso elilindelekileyo liphindwe ngesixa esipheleleyo esibhejiweyo; isixa esiphakathi esilahlekayo kwiseshoni okanye kwixesha elithile.Funda yonke → kwi-$1,200 yi-$32; eyokwenyani −$340 imalunga nokutenxa okuqhelekileyo (standard deviation)izibaloUkutenxa okuqhelekileyo (standard deviation)Ingcambu yesikwere yokwahluka; umgama oqhelekileyo wesiphumo ukusuka kwixabiso elilindelekileyo.Funda yonke → okukodwa nesiqingatha ngaphantsi, iseshoni embi, kwaye luhlobo lweseshoni i-Fibonacci eyivelisayo phantse kanye kwezintlanu kobu bude. Imijikelo yenkqubo egqityiweyo ihlawule i-$5 nganye; umjikelo wenkqubo omnye omubi ubize amashumi asibhozo anesibhozo kuyo.
Oko kubonakaliswa yile seshoni
I-Fibonacci isasaza umwonyo we-Martingale kwimijikelo eliqela kwaye iwutyhalela kude, nto leyo iyenza ikhuseleke ngakumbi kwaye ikhohlise ngakumbi: ulandelelwano lweebheji lukhangeleka lufanelekile kude kube kuleyo ingafanelekanga. Ilahleko elindelekileyo kwidola nganye ayitshintshi; isixa esipheleleyo esibhejiweyoimaliIsixa esipheleleyo esibhejiweyoIsixa esipheleleyo esibhejiweyo kwiseshoni okanye kwixesha elithile, kubalwa nemali ephumeleleyo ephinda ibhejwe. Kwakhona: handle, action.Funda yonke → esongezelelweyo ngenxa yokunyuka kulapho imali iya khona.
Imibuzo
Kuba impumelelo kwinani n ibuyisa iilahleko kumanani n−1 no-n−2, adityaniswa abe lilo. Ulandelelwano lwakhelwe lo mthetho.
Eyona bheji iphezulu iphantsi kwinani elifanayo leelahleko, ngoko ewe, ngengqiqo yomwonyo ofika kamva. Ulindelo luyafana.
Elweshumi elinesibini kwiyunithi ye-$5: 5, 5, 10, 15, 25, 40, 65, 105, 170, 275, 445, emva koko 720.
Uncumo
Umlinganiselo wegolide ngu-1.618. Inzuzo yekhasino isengu-2.70%.
Imithombo
- Ethier, S. N. The Doctrine of Chances: Probabilistic Aspects of Gambling.