Imizekelo inyathelo ngenyathelo · Umzekelo inyathelo ngenyathelo · imizuzu eyi-7

Umzekelo: Oscar’s Grind

Iyunithi enye ngaphezulu emva kwempumelelo, ibheji efanayo emva kwelahleko, umjikelo wenkqubo uyekwa xa uphambili ngeyunithi enye. Eyona nkqubo icothayo ekhoyo, kwimijikelo elikhulu.

Impendulo emfutshane

Iseshoni elinganisiweyo ye-Oscar’s Grind yemijikelo eli-100 nge-$10 iyunithi komnyamaibhejiOmnyamaIbheji yemali elinganayo kumanani ali-18 amnyama. NgesiFrentshi: noir.Funda yonke →. Imijikelo yenkqubo esibhozo ivaleke nge-+$10 nganye, omnye wayo emva kwemijikelo engama-41, ibheji ye-$50 nokuhla kwemali nge-$230; owesithoba ubusavulekile kwi-−$140 xa iseshoni iphela. Inzuzo yokwenyani −$60. Ukwahluka okuphantsi, akukho wa, inzuzo yekhasino efanayo.

iyunithi
i-$10 komnyama
umthetho
+1 iyunithi emva kwempumelelo, ihlala injalo emva kwelahleko
injongo yomjikelo wenkqubo
+1 iyunithi
isiphumo semali
−$60 kwimijikelo eli-100

Hamba ngenkqubo

Ilahleko igcina ibheji. Ukuphumelela kongeza iyunithi enye, kodwa kungaze kudlule oko umjikelo wenkqubo ukudingayo ukuze ufikelele ku-+1. Ku-+1 kuqala umjikelo wenkqubo omtsha.

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ibheji elandelayo1lo mjikelo wenkqubo0isiphumo ukuza kuthi ga ngoku0imijikelo0

Iibheji neziphumo zikwiiyunithi zebheji yesiseko.

Isicwangciso

Bheja iyunithiimaliIyunithiIbheji esisiseko esetyenziswa yinkqubo okanye ngumdlali. Ukunyuswa kweebheji kuchazwa ngeeyunithi ukuze kusebenze kuyo nayiphi na itafile.Funda yonke → enye. Emva kwelahleko, bheja kwakhona okufanayo. Emva kwempumelelo, nyusa ngeyunithi enye, ngaphandle kokuba ukunyusa kuya kuwugqithisa umjikelo wenkqubo ngaphaya kwe-+1 iyunithi; kuloo meko bheja kuphela oko kufunekayo ukuze ugqibe kanye kwi-+1. Xa umjikelo wenkqubo uphambili ngeyunithi enye, qala kwakhona ngeyunithi enye. Ibheji inyuka kuphela emva kweempumelelo, ngoko uthotho lweelahleko alude luyikhulise; ukusila kuvela ekudingeni uthotho lweempumelelo ukuze uphume emngxunyeni owembiwe ngebheji encinci.

Amathuba oluhlu lweziphumo kwi-roulette

Imijikelo 1–30

Imijikelo yenkqubo emine ivalekile. Owona mde uthathe imijikelo elishumi elinanye: L L L (−$30 nge-$10), P (−$20, ibheji iya kwi-$20), L L (−$60), P (−$40, ibheji iya kwi-$30), P (−$10; ukunyusela kwi-$40 bekuya kugqitha, ngoko ibheji yi-$20), L (−$30), P (−$10), P: umjikelo wenkqubo ukwi-+$10, uvaliwe. Inzuzo yokwenyani emva kwemijikelo engama-30 +$40. Iibheji azizange zigqithe i-$30. Yeyona nkqubo ingonwabisiyo kule sayithi, nto leyo iyincoko.

umjikelo wenkquboimijikeloeyona bheji iphezuluukuhla kwemaliinzuzo yokwenyani
13$20−$10+$10
211$30−$60+$10
35$20−$20+$10
411$30−$50+$10
emva kwama-30imijikelo yenkqubo emi-4+$40

Imijikelo 31–71

Umjikelo wenkqubo omde. Iilahleko ezisibhozo kwimijikelo elishumi yokuqala zemba −$50. Iimpumelelo zanyusa ibheji zayisa kwi-$20, $30, $40, $50; iilahleko kwezo bheji zemba ngakumbi, zaya kwi-−$230 kumjikelo wama-52. Ukusuka apho ixesha elilungileyo, iimpumelelo ezilishumi elinanye kwimijikelo elishumi elinesithandathu ngeebheji ze-$40–$50, labuyisela phezulu, waza umjikelo wenkqubo wavaleka kumjikelo wama-71 nge-+$10. Imijikelo engamashumi amane ananye, i-$230 isemngciphekweni kweyona ndawo imbi, kwafunyanwa iyunithi enye.

Le seshoni nezinye ezilithoba ezifana nayoisiphumo xa kuthelekiswa nokuqala
+$1,110$0−$1,000+$890−$5000125250375500imijikeloisiphumo
iiseshoni ezi-1,000 × imijikelo eyi-500 · mfusa p10/p25/p75/p90, luhlaza okwesibhakabhaka okukhanyayo umbindi, iisampulu ezi-83 ezifiphele · hambisa isalathisi phezu kwegrafu ukuze ubone ii-quantile kumjikelo
  • p10 −$1,000
  • p25 −$1,000
  • umbindi −$1,000
  • p75 +$710
  • p90 +$880
iiseshoni ezi-1,000 × imijikelo eyi-500 · i-y-axis inqunyulwe kwi-1st–99th percentile (iziphelo −$1,000 ukuya ku-+$1,280) · imijikelo eyi-500 · isiseko $10 · imali elinganayo
Kuthe tyaba ixesha elide, amanyathelo amancinci aya phezulu, imingxuma enzulu ngamaxesha athile ekuphunywa kuyo kancinci. Ithambeka lomndilili lilelo liqhelekileyo.
Imijikelo engamashumi amane ananye kunye nokuhla nge-$230 kweyona ndawo imbi, ukuze kugqitywe uphambili ngeyunithi enye.

Imijikelo 72–100

Eminye imijikelo yenkqubo emithathu ivalekile, omnye washiywa kumjikelo we-100 ukwi-−$140 nebheji ye-$30. Isiphumo sokugqibela −$60: imijikelo yenkqubo esibhozo kwi-+$10 nomjikelo omnye ovulekileyo kwi-−$140 (umjikelo wenkqubo ovulekileyo yindlela eqhelekileyo ephela ngayo iseshoni ye-Oscar, kuba imijikelo yenkqubo mide).

Iiakhawunti

Umndilili webheji malunga ne-$22, isixa esipheleleyo esibhejiweyo malunga ne-$2,200 xa kuthelekiswa ne-$1,000 ngokulinganayo. Ilahleko elindelekileyoizibaloIlahleko elindelekileyoIxabiso elilindelekileyo liphindwe ngesixa esipheleleyo esibhejiweyo; isixa esiphakathi esilahlekayo kwiseshoni okanye kwixesha elithile.Funda yonke → yi-$59; eyokwenyani −$60. Iseshoni ewela kulindelo lwayo, nto eyenziwa yi-Oscar’s Grind rhoqo ngakumbi kunezinye iinkqubo kuba ukwahlukaizibaloUkwahlukaUmlinganiselo wokuba iziphumo zisasazeke kangakanani zijikeleze ixabiso elilindelekileyo. Kuphezulu kwibheji yenani elinye, kuphantsi kwiibheji zemali elinganayo.Funda yonke → kwayo kuphantsi: ibheji ikhula kuphela xa siphumelela, kwaye ayize iphindwe kabini.

Oko kubonakaliswa yile seshoni

I-Oscar’s Grind yinkqubo eyilwe ngumntu owayeziqondile ezinye. Ayinawa, ibheji ihlala incinci, kwaye ivelisa uthotho olude lweempumelelo ezincinci. Ixabiso lixesha: imijikelo yenkqubo inokuthatha imijikelo engamashumi amane, kwaye inzuzo yeyunithi enye ekugqibeleni ithengwe ngokuhla kwemaliimaliUkuhla kwemaliUkuwa ukusuka kwincopho yemali yokudlala ukuya kwelona nqanaba liphantsi kamva kwiseshoni. Ukuhla okukhulu kwemali lolona kuwa lukhulu olunjalo.Funda yonke → okuphindwe kangamashumi amabini ubukhulu bayo. Ilahleko elindelekileyo kwidola nganye ebhejiweyo yi-2.70%, kwaye ukusila kongeza iidola.

Imibuzo

Wayengubani u-Oscar?

Umdlali we-craps ochazwe ngu-Allan Wilson kwi-The Casino Gambler’s Guide (1965). Inkqubo indala kunegama.

Ingaba ukwahluka okuphantsi kulungile?

Kuthetha ukuba isiphumo sakho siya kuba kufutshane nolindelo. Ulindelo lubi. Ukwahluka okuphantsi kulungile ukuba ufuna ixabiso eliqikelelekayo lengokuhlwa, kwaye kubi ukuba ufuna ithuba lempumelelo enkulu.

Yintoni ephelisa umjikelo wenkqubo ongafuni ukuvaleka?

Imali yakho yokudlalaimaliImali yokudlalaIsixa esipheleleyo esibekelwe ukudlala. Ulawulo lwemali yokudlala kukugqiba ukuba ingakanani kuyo oyibeka emngciphekweni kwibheji nganye nakwiseshoni nganye.Funda yonke → okanye umonde wakho. Inkqubo ayinamthetho wokuyeka; umdlali kufuneka eze nawo.

Uncumo

Eyona ndlela icothayo yokulahlekelwa yi-2.70%. Ikwayeyona izolileyo.

Eyona ndlela icothayo yokulahlekelwa yi-2.70%. Ikwayeyona izolileyo.

Imithombo

  1. Wilson, A. The Casino Gambler’s Guide. Harper & Row, 1965.
  2. Ethier, S. N. The Doctrine of Chances: Probabilistic Aspects of Gambling. Springer, 2010. Isahluko 13, i-roulette.
ihlolwe ngo-2026-09-28imodeli: yaseYurophu, iqanda elinyeindlela yokusebenza ↗imithombo ↗