Umzekelo: ukusasazwa kwe-Bond
I-$140 kumanani aphezulu, i-$50 kwimiqolo emibini 13–18, i-$10 kwiqanda: i-$200 ngomjikelo, amanani angama-25 agubungelweyo. Ukusasazwa kwe-James Bond kwimijikelo engamashumi amabini.
Iseshoni elinganisiweyo yemijikelo engama-20 yokusasazwa okuthengiswa njengesicwangciso se-James Bond. Iimpumelelo ezilishumi elinesibini ze-$80, ukubetha kwemiqolo emibini okuthathu kwe-$100, iqanda elinye le-$160, neelahleko ezine ze-$200 ku-1–12. Inzuzo yokwenyani +$620, ayizange ihle ngaphezu kwe-$40. Ukusasazwa kugubungela malunga nesibini kwisithathu sevili. Xa kuwa elinye lamanani angagubungelwanga, yonke ibheji ye-$200 iyahamba.
Isicwangciso
Kwitafile yohlobo lwaseFransi: i-$140 ku-19–36, i-$50 kwimiqolo emibiniibhejiImiqolo emibiniAmanani amathandathu kwimiqolo emibini engabamelwane, ihlawula u-5:1. NgesiFrentshi: sixain.Funda yonke → 13–18, i-$10 kwiqandaiviliIqandaIsikhewu esinye esiluhlaza esingagubungelwa yibheji yemali elinganayo, yedazini okanye yekholamu; umthombo wenzuzo yekhasino. Kwakhona: iqanda elinye, 0.Funda yonke →. Amanani angamashumi amabini anesihlanu agubungelweyo. Inani eliphezulu lihlawula i-$140 kwaye lilahlekelwa yi-$60: +$80. Inani lemiqolo emibini lihlawula i-$250 kwaye lilahlekelwa yi-$150: +$100. Iqanda lihlawula i-$350 kwaye lilahlekelwa yi-$190: +$160. Naliphi na ku-1–12 lilahlekelwa yonke into: −$200. Ixabiso elilindelekileyoizibaloIxabiso elilindelekileyoIsiphumo esiphakathi kwibheji nganye ekuhambeni kwexesha elide. −1/37 yebheji kuyo yonke ibheji eqhelekileyo yaseYurophu.Funda yonke → ngomjikelo ngu-(18×80 + 6×100 + 160 − 12×200)/37 = −$5.41, eyi-2.70% ye-$200. Ukusasazwa yibheji ngokulinganayo enxibe impahla yomdlalo.
Imijikelo 1–10
19 27 7 33 15 0 23 31 11 29. Amanani aphezulu amathandathu, imiqolo emibini kanye, iqanda kanye, iilahleko ezimbini: +480 +100 +160 −400 = +$340. Ibhalansi +$340 emva kwemijikelo elishumi, nemijikelo emibini elahlekayo nganye ithathe i-$200. Iqanda kumjikelo wesi-6 lihlawule i-$160, nto leyo ikuphela kwexesha iqanda laziva lingumhlobo.
Imijikelo 11–20
5 22 36 14 20 2 28 34 17 25. Iilahleko ezimbini kwimijikelo emithandathu yokuqala zibuyisele ibhalansi kwi-+$280; emva koko amanani aphezulu amathathu nemiqolo emibini kanye zavala iseshoni kwi-+$620. Imijikelo engamashumi amabini: amanani aphezulu ali-12, ukubetha kwemiqolo emibini oku-3, iqanda eli-1, iilahleko ezi-4. Inzuzo yokwenyani elindelekileyo ibiyi-−$108; eyokwenyani +$620, malunga ne-1.2 yokutenxa okuqhelekileyo (standard deviation)izibaloUkutenxa okuqhelekileyo (standard deviation)Ingcambu yesikwere yokwahluka; umgama oqhelekileyo wesiphumo ukusuka kwixabiso elilindelekileyo.Funda yonke → ngaphezu kolindelo, ubusuku obuhle.
- p10 −$2,000
- p25 −$2,000
- umbindi −$2,000
- p75 −$2,000
- p90 +$780
Iiakhawunti
Isixa esipheleleyo esibhejiweyo yi-$4,000 kwimijikelo engamashumi amabini. Ilahleko elindelekileyoizibaloIlahleko elindelekileyoIxabiso elilindelekileyo liphindwe ngesixa esipheleleyo esibhejiweyo; isixa esiphakathi esilahlekayo kwiseshoni okanye kwixesha elithile.Funda yonke → yi-$108. Ukutenxa okuqhelekileyo komjikelo omnye malunga ne-$135, ngoko imijikelo engamashumi amabini inokutenxa okuqhelekileyo okumalunga ne-$605; +$620 nangaphezulu bubusuku obunye kwezilithoba. Imijikelo efanayo engamashumi amabini nge-$200 ngokulinganayo kobomvuibhejiObomvuIbheji yemali elinganayo kumanani ali-18 abomvu. NgesiFrentshi: rouge.Funda yonke → ibiya kuba nolindelo olufanayo nosasazeko olubanzi ngakumbi (σ ≈ $200 ngomjikelo): ukusasazwa kunokwahlukaizibaloUkwahlukaUmlinganiselo wokuba iziphumo zisasazeke kangakanani zijikeleze ixabiso elilindelekileyo. Kuphezulu kwibheji yenani elinye, kuphantsi kwiibheji zemali elinganayo.Funda yonke → okuphantsi kune-bheji yemali elinganayoibhejiIbheji yemali elinganayoObomvu/omnyama, angalinganiyo/alinganayo, aphezulu/aphantsi. Amanani ali-18, ihlawula u-1:1.Funda yonke → kuba kuphumelela rhoqo ngakumbi nangokuncinci.
Oko kubonakaliswa yile seshoni
Ukusasazwa kwe-Bond ziibheji ezintathu ezinolindelo oludibanela ku-−1/37 wesimbuku, njengayo yonke indibaniselwano yeebheji eziqhelekileyo. Eyona mpawu yako yinyani kukugubungela: izinga lempumelelo le-67.6% lenza ingokuhlwa iziva ngathi yinkqubo. I-32.4% yemijikelo elahlekayo ithatha i-$200 nganye, kwaye kwixesha elide ithatha kanye oko kutshiwo zizibalo. Nangona inegama elo, ayikho kwiinoveli zika-Fleming: u-Bond wakhe ubheja kwiidaziniibhejiIdazini1–12, 13–24 okanye 25–36, ihlawula u-2:1.Funda yonke → ezimbini. Iincwadana zezicwangciso zenza okuseleyo.
I-roulette kuncwadiIsicwangciso seedazini neekholamu kwi-roulette
Imibuzo
Ibheji yamanani aphezulu yeyemali elinganayo, ngoko kwitafile yaseFransi ilahlekelwa yi-$70 kuphela kwiqanda endaweni ye-$140, kwaye iqanda lizisa +$230 endaweni ye-+$160. Inzuzo yekhasino edibeneyo malunga ne-1.8%. Ingcono, kwaye isengalunganga.
Imilinganiselo iphantse ilinganise iimpumelelo: $80, $100, $160. Nayiphi na imilinganiselo inika inzuzo yekhasino efanayo.
Ewe. Ubheja i-$200 kumanani afanayo angama-25 kumjikelo ngamnye. Akutshintshi isixa okanye ukhetho emva kwempumelelo okanye ilahleko.
Uncumo
Isibini kwisithathu sevili. Isinye kwisithathu sexesha, yonke into.
Imithombo
- Fleming, I. Casino Royale.
- Ethier, S. N. The Doctrine of Chances: Probabilistic Aspects of Gambling.